Dr. Phil Klotzbach from Colorado State is calling for 11 named storms in 2017, with four of those hurricanes.
In addition to the projected number of named storms, CSU also includes the probability of major hurricanes making landfall in its annual report. The average is twelve.
The warmer waters tend to strengthen high-altitude winds that swirl over the tropical Atlantic Ocean, essentially blowing apart storms and making it harder for them to condense into unsafe cyclones.
But pockets of waters that Klotzbach follows closely had cooled over the past month, and Arctic waters remained cool enough to continue suggesting the Atlantic basin has moved into a less-active hurricane period. This creates strong winds across the Atlantic that tend to shred tropical systems apart.
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30. That year was an average year for hurricane activity. This year's forecast is slightly lower than the median of 12 storms between 1981 and 2010. In addition, this period is responsible for "a whopping 96 percent of the major (Category 3, 4 and 5) hurricane days".
The forecasters from both institutions have pointed to the development of El Niño as a contributing factor for the below average predictions.
Experts predict a slower than usual 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season for Sebastian and Vero Beach.
The forecast also suggests a lower-than-normal chance of cyclones making landfall along the USA coastline.
The site provides information for all coastal states as well as 11 regions and 205 individual counties along the USA coastline from Brownsville, Texas, to Eastport, Maine. But we can't say where the storms are going to go.it only takes that one storm to be an active season for you.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration will issue its forecast in May.
"We anticipate a below-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the USA coastline and in the Caribbean", he added.
Hurricane Elena struck the MS coast in 1985.